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Modern surveillance law is not one design — it is a sediment of reactions. FISA (1978) was the response to the Church Committee’s exposure of decades of warrantless spying. The Patriot Act (2001) was the response to 9/11. Section 702 (2008) legalised, after the fact, warrantless collection the NSA had already been running. Each expansion arrived in an emergency, on a fast clock, with the security argument in the ascendant.
The contractions are rarer and smaller. Only once since 1978 has a statute actually narrowed surveillance — the USA FREEDOM Act (2015), which ended one bulk program after Snowden forced it into the open. The asymmetry is the story: crises ratchet the apparatus up; almost nothing ratchets it back down.
The secret court that FISA created has approved surveillance applications at a rate above 99.9% — roughly eleven outright denials across some 41,000 applications between 1979 and 2012. Defenders say the number misleads, because the government narrows applications before filing and the court often forces modifications. Critics call it a rubber stamp. The chart below is that history: a slow climb, a post-9/11 surge to a 2007 peak, and a steep decline as bulk collection under §702 replaced individual warrants.
Source: DOJ annual reports to Congress (1979–2017) via EPIC; recent Title I/III order counts (2018–2021) via Lawfare. 1979 is the FISC’s first year. The metric shifts slightly from applications to orders after 2017, but the arc is continuous — the decline is real, driven by §702 displacing individual warrants. Denials across the whole period number in the low double digits.