of all globally traded oil transits the Strait daily
NAVAL BLOCKADE STATUS
ACTIVE
reimposed by U.S. on July 15, 2026
CEASEFIRE COLLAPSED
July 8
Trump declared ceasefire over; strikes resumed
STRIKE TEMPO SHIFT
Daytime
U.S. moved from night to visible daylight operations
SITUATION AS OF JULY 15, 2026
Twenty percent of the world's oil moves through a strait that is now under active U.S. naval blockade. The U.S. reimposed its blockade on Iran on July 15 and shifted airstrikes to daylight hours — a deliberate signal that Washington is no longer concealing the campaign. With Iran's new Supreme Leader pledging revenge and commercial shipping under attack in Omani waters, the question is not whether this escalates further — it is how fast, and what it costs at the pump.
Mar 12
diplomatic
New Supreme Leader Pledges Revenge
Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's new Supreme Leader appointed on March 8–9 following his father's assassination on February 28, issued his first written statement on March 12 pledging revenge for the 'martyrs' — removing a key potential off-ramp for de-escalation.
Jul 8
diplomatic● CRITICAL
Ceasefire Declared Over
President Trump declared the ceasefire with Iran over after Tehran resumed tanker attacks in Omani waters and struck U.S. military assets in the Gulf and Jordan.
maritime
Iran Tanker Attacks Resume
Iran resumed attacks on commercial vessels attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz, triggering U.S. retaliation.
military● CRITICAL
Iran Strikes U.S. Assets
Iranian forces struck U.S. military assets in the Gulf region and in Jordan, escalating the conflict beyond maritime theater.
Jul 10
military
U.S. Airstrikes Resume (Nighttime)
U.S. Central Command resumed airstrikes against Iranian targets, initially conducted during nighttime hours.
Jul 13
economic
White House Floats Hormuz Cargo Fee
On July 13, alongside announcing the reimposition of the naval blockade, Trump stated the United States would collect fees equaling 20% of cargo values from ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
Jul 14
maritime● CRITICAL
Naval Blockade Reimposed
The United States reimposed a naval blockade on Iran — announced by Trump on July 13 and effective July 14 per U.S. Central Command — in direct retaliation for Tehran's attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
Jul 15
military● CRITICAL
Strikes Shift to Daytime
U.S. resumed airstrikes during daylight hours — a deliberate escalation signal indicating Washington is willing to publicly own the military campaign.
military
maritime
diplomatic
economic
Key Actors
Donald Trump
U.S. President
Declared ceasefire over on July 8; authorized daytime strikes and naval blockade reimposition.
Mojtaba Khamenei
Supreme Leader of Iran
Succeeded his father as Supreme Leader; pledged revenge, removing a key de-escalation off-ramp.
U.S. CENTCOM
U.S. Military Command
Executing the increasing tempo of airstrikes and enforcing the naval blockade.
IRGC
Iranian Military Force
Conducting tanker attacks and maritime interdiction operations in the Strait and Omani waters.