Michigan's Historic Senate Nomination

ARAB AMERICANS IN MICHIGAN

~300K

largest Arab American population per capita of any U.S. state

DEARBORN ARAB AMERICAN SHARE

~40%

share of Dearborn's population identifying as Arab American

2024 MICHIGAN UNCOMMITTED VOTE

101K+

Democratic primary votes cast 'uncommitted' as protest in Feb 2024

2018 GOVERNOR PRIMARY MARGIN

~9 pts

Whitmer's winning margin over El-Sayed in the 2018 Democratic gubernatorial primary

Arab American Population by County

Uncommitted Vote Share (Feb 2024)

Wayne Co. Share of Uncommitted

Wayne County cast ~46% of all uncommitted votes, reflecting the Arab American concentration in the Dearborn area.

Coalition Strength by Region

RegionArab Am. ShareEl-Sayed StrengthGen. Election Risk

Wayne County (Dearborn core)HighVery StrongLow

Detroit Metro (Macomb, Oakland)ModerateModerateMedium

Grand Rapids / West MichiganLowWeakHigh

Northern / Outstate MichiganVery LowVery WeakVery High

Lansing / Ann Arbor (College towns)Low-ModerateStrongLow

Key Questions