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Every subject at this tier is asked the same six questions, fixed before the subject is chosen so the set cannot be picked to suit an argument. The others written for this record are Private Money, The Output, Reach, Affiliations and The Legal Record. With this one the base set is complete, so the overlay dives — the ones specific to what this subject has been — are unblocked. None of them could have been started before now.
The same question is answered for Donald Trump and Barack Obama, from the same pollster — and with this dive all three records at this tier have a complete base set for the first time.
Back to the full record.
Every reading Gallup publishes for this presidency. Points at or above 50% are marked; there are seven and they are all in the first six months.
Day 0 is 20 January 2021. Gallup reports a field period rather than a single day; the start of each period is used consistently so the spacing between points is comparable.
| Year | Readings | Mean | Published low–high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 12 | 50.2 | 42–57 |
| 2022 | 11 | 40.9 | 38–44 |
| 2023 | 12 | 39.8 | 37–43 |
| 2024 | 14 | 39.5 | 36–45 |
| 2025part year | 1 | 40.0 | 40–40 |
One fall and then a plateau. The mean drops about ten points between the first year and the second and then moves 1.4 points across the three years that follow. Whatever happened to this presidency’s standing happened in 2021 and did not continue; the rest of the term is close to a straight line. The 2025 row is a single reading taken in the final fortnight and is marked rather than averaged into a trend.
Read 2026-08-11. This dive belongs to the record it sits inside, and it completes that record’s base set. How opinion divides by party as a subject in its own right is owned by Political Polarization.