Iran-to-Hezbollah logistics routes via Iraq & Syria
ESCALATION PROBABILITY
~71%
prediction market odds of broader Iranian military action
ESCALATION ARC — ISRAEL'S SHADOW WAR TIMELINE
strike
sabotage
intelligence
escalation
logistics
covert operation
HOW TO READ THIS CHART
Events are plotted by category lane (vertical axis) and date (horizontal axis). Each dot represents a discrete incident. The diamond shape marks the current event: Israel's reported establishment of covert outposts inside Iraq. Hover over any event for details.
LAND BRIDGE CORRIDOR STATUS
Northern Corridor
Tehran → Tabriz → Iraqi Kurdistan border → Sinjar → Deir ez-Zor (Syria) → Beirut