Iran-linked entities under U.S. Treasury restrictions as of 2025
RED SEA INCIDENTS
100+
Houthi attacks on commercial shipping since late 2023
OIL EXPORT SUPPRESSION
~1.5M
barrels/day lost to sanctions vs. pre-2018 peak exports
REGIONAL PROXY FRONTS
5
active theaters: Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Gaza
Analysis
Each event is plotted along its category lane. Circle size reflects severity — larger circles indicate higher-stakes moments. Hover any point for detail. Critical events carry a halo ring.
sanctions
diplomacy
proxy
military
critical event
2020-01-03
● CRITICAL — Soleimani Killed
U.S. drone strike kills IRGC Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani near Baghdad airport.
Iran launches over 300 drones and missiles at Israel in its first direct strike from Iranian territory.
2026-08-17
● CRITICAL — Peace Deal Deadline Expires
The U.S.-Iran formal peace deal deadline passes without a signed accord, leaving both sides in a diplomatic gray zone.
2026-08-23
Iran President Defends MOU
Iran's president publicly defends the memorandum of understanding as the best path out of the stalled conflict. SNSC simultaneously issues a warning, signaling internal divisions.
Context & Analysis
Gray Zone Status
Following the expiration of the August 17 deadline, U.S. and Iranian officials have not publicly confirmed whether back-channel talks continue. The memorandum of understanding discussed from mid-2025 onward remains non-binding. Iran's president publicly framing it as the best available exit ramp — while the SNSC issued a parallel warning — is the most visible public signal of the internal fracture that has historically stalled every Iranian diplomatic opening since the JCPOA collapsed.