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Ask Americans how much of the federal budget goes to foreign aid and the average answer is 26%. The real figure for FY2024 is 1.3% — aid obligations of $85.8 billion against $6.7 trillion in federal outlays. Eighty-six percent of adults guess too high; more than half guess above 10%. This is not a small polling artifact. It is a twenty-fold error about a basic fact of the budget, and it is remarkably stable across decades of polling.
The sharpest way to see the size of the error: the public's average guess is higher than foreign aid has been in any single year since record-keeping began in 1946 — including 1949, the peak of the Marshall Plan, when aid really did consume 21.4% of the federal budget. Americans aren't describing a program they dislike. They're describing 1949.
And the error is load-bearing. When KFF told respondents the real number, the share saying the U.S. spends "too much" on foreign aid fell from 58% to 34% — a 24-point collapse triggered by one sentence of accurate information. The opposition is not primarily ideological. It is arithmetic.
Aid obligations (ForeignAssistance.gov) ÷ total federal outlays (OMB Historical Table 1.1). 1946 is the earliest year the source reports. FY2025 is still incompletely reported and will revise upward.
Share saying the U.S. spends “too much” on foreign aid, before and after being told it is about 1% of the budget. A 24-point swing from a single fact.