God & the GOP: The Christian Nationalist Playbook
EVANGELICAL TRUMP SUPPORT81%white evangelicals in 2024 — highest ever recorded
SWING VS. 2020+4ptsevangelical margin grew from 2020 to 2024
FAITH-BASED FUNDING$3.2Bfederal funds routed to religious orgs under Trump EOs
CHRISTIAN NATIONALIST BILLS14culture-war bills tied to evangelical agenda, 119th Congress
White Evangelical Presidential Vote (2000–2024)
% voting for Republican vs. Democratic candidate — AP VoteCast / exit polls
Republican
Democrat
2024 Republican Coalition by Religious Group
Share of total Republican presidential vote & Trump approval within group
White evangelical Protestant34% of coalition
81% approval
White non-evangelical Protestant18% of coalition
62% approval
White Catholic17% of coalition
59% approval
No religion (white)12% of coalition
49% approval
Hispanic Catholic7% of coalition
54% approval
Other / unaffiliated12% of coalition
43% approval
"Should the U.S. Be a Christian Nation?" (PRRI 2024)
% agree by party affiliation
RepublicanAgree: 52%
52% agree9% unsure39% disagree
IndependentAgree: 29%
29% agree16% unsure55% disagree
DemocratAgree: 18%
18% agree10% unsure72% disagree
All adultsAgree: 33%
33% agree11% unsure56% disagree
Frequently Asked Questions
Data Sources
AP VoteCast 2024Pew Research CenterPRRI American Values SurveyGovTrack.us
connectrealdots.com · Data reflects best available public research as of 2024–2025.
Data sources
AP VoteCast 2024 — Religious Vote Breakdown· Associated Press / NORCAmerican Values Survey 2024· Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI)Religious Groups in the 2024 Election· Pew Research CenterChristian Nationalism in the United States· Brookings Institution119th Congress Bill Tracker· GovTrack.usFaith-Based and Neighborhood Partnerships — EO History· White House / Federal Register